Apr 8, 2009
Statistician Nate Silver on Gay Marriage
Nate Silver (who accurately predicted the election results in 49 states) has new models for gay marriage legalization:
He says that “voter initiatives to ban gay marriage are becoming harder and harder to pass every year” and uses a regression model to produce a listing of when the voters of each US state would vote against a marriage ban if given the chance. Some notables:
New York - 2009
Iowa - 2013
Utah - 2013
Kansas - 2015
Texas - 2018
Mississippi - 2024
(via Kottke)
